Ali Emami Meibodi; Mehryar Dashab; Masoumeh Akbari Birgani
Abstract
The high average life of onshore facilities, entering the second half of the life of large fields, reducing the recovery factor of oil reservoirs and Iran's backwardness from the development of common fields are the most important challenges of the upstream part of Iran's oil industry.Due to the impossibility ...
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The high average life of onshore facilities, entering the second half of the life of large fields, reducing the recovery factor of oil reservoirs and Iran's backwardness from the development of common fields are the most important challenges of the upstream part of Iran's oil industry.Due to the impossibility of financing and necessary capital from domestic sources, it is necessary to pay more attention to foreign investment and its contractual methods in this field. Therefore, in this study, the financial-economic performance of Iran's service contracts model and Iraq is being studied and compared in terms of attracting foreign investment and financing projects for the development and exploitation of oil fields. in this regard, the financial simulation technique and sensitivity analysis of the contractor's rate of return on the changes in the financial parameters of the contractual models have been used. The results show that the IPC contract model provides better economic results for the contractor compared to buy back while motivating the contractor to achieve safe production, but the Iraqi service contract model due to the shorter payback period, which facilitates financing the project and reduces the risk of capital expenditure, especially at high oil prices is more attractive to the contractor.
نهادها و سازمانهای منطقهای و بین المللی انرژی
maryam houshangi; ali emami meibodi; laleh jokar
Abstract
The restrictions on oil reserves and environmental hazards have led resource-rich countries to focus their attention on gas energy. In this regard, the importance of gas as an appropriate energy source will become even more significant in the coming years. The establishment of a cartel consisting ...
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The restrictions on oil reserves and environmental hazards have led resource-rich countries to focus their attention on gas energy. In this regard, the importance of gas as an appropriate energy source will become even more significant in the coming years. The establishment of a cartel consisting of natural gas producers and exporters in order to achieve strategies for managing and controlling the gas market demonstrates this importance. This paper examines the confrontation or interaction between oil OPEC and the Gas Exporting Countries Forum (gas GECF); using the time series data for OPEC and GECF gas and oil demand in the period from 1970-1 to 2016-4. Regarding the coefficients obtained from the estimation of OPEC and OPEC gas and solving their equations simultaneously in the MATLAB 2014 software, the following results have been obtained; based on the cumulative response function in the case of the formation of a gas cartel, these two cartels will choose collusion strategies. The reason for this can be searched in some common members of the two cartels. Also, based on the impulse response function, oil demand is evaluated more than gas demand. It can be due to the multiple uses of oil over gas which increase the intensive substitution between these two products..
• مطالعات اقتصادی مرتبط با حاملهای انرژی (فسیلی، تجدیدپذیر و برق)
SHAKER MOHAMADI; ali emami meibodi; AMIRHOSEIN FAKEHI
Abstract
Today, in most countries, especially developing countries, economic growth is at the heart of planning. Since the place of economic activity is the environment, unfortunately, growth has had unfortunate consequences for the human environment. The main objective of this study is to measure the reduction ...
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Today, in most countries, especially developing countries, economic growth is at the heart of planning. Since the place of economic activity is the environment, unfortunately, growth has had unfortunate consequences for the human environment. The main objective of this study is to measure the reduction of environmental pollutants and greenhouse gas emissions under policy-making scenarios compared to the reference scenario. The research method in this study is using the scenario analysis method based on Long Term Alternatives Planning Model (LEAP). The research findings show that by designing demand-side and supply-side management scenarios, meaning that replacing renewable energies and electricity in place of fossil fuels (crude oil and natural gas), reducing the amount of environmental pollutant emissions for the year 1420 (year horizon) 2014 (Year Zero Planning) is 123.5 million tonnes.
Shaker Mohammadi; Ali Emami Meibodi; Afshin Javan; Amir Hossein Fakehi
Abstract
Importance of long-term planning in the energy sector and employing policy design tools are focal and strategic issues of the country. The main objective of this paper is to measure the supply (Energy Transformation) and demand of energy during the period of 2014-2042 according to the reference scenario ...
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Importance of long-term planning in the energy sector and employing policy design tools are focal and strategic issues of the country. The main objective of this paper is to measure the supply (Energy Transformation) and demand of energy during the period of 2014-2042 according to the reference scenario and policy scenarios, and to calculate the amount of oil and gas savings under the new scenarios of supply and demand management of the reference scenario. The results of modeling below various energy sectors indicate that energy demand will increase from 1321 MBOE in 2014 to 2471.3 MBOE in 2042. By defining new scenarios and adopting demand and supply management policies, the amount of crude oil savings in the projected year is 702.6 MBOE, which is higher than the base year's crude exports. This result attributed to crude oil exports will be added in the planning horizon. This paper concludes that the move towards utilizing energy demand management and energy supply (Energy Transformation) policies, as well as replacing the renewable energy sources of wind and solar instead of fossil fuels.
Ali Emami Meibodi; Ahmad Hadi
Abstract
One of the main ways of domesticizing technology in oil industry is conditional contract for transfer of technology from international oil companies. However, over the past years the Iranian oil industry has made a little success in this regard and presently in Iranian new petroleum contract (IPC) as ...
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One of the main ways of domesticizing technology in oil industry is conditional contract for transfer of technology from international oil companies. However, over the past years the Iranian oil industry has made a little success in this regard and presently in Iranian new petroleum contract (IPC) as an alternative to buy back contracts aims to acquire and transfer modern technologies and localize it by collaboration of international oil companies with domestic companies approved by the National Iranian Oil Company, by making some changes in the type, terms and nature of contract. But what is more important than technology transfer is consideration to the obtained results compared with decisions made on the technology transfer of a contract. Thus, evaluation the risk of technology transfer play a clear and prominent role in the future sustainable development of Iranian oil industry. In this study, in addition to the study on buy back and IPC contracts from technology transfer point of view, the risks of technology transfer are detected in IPC contract and discussed by reviewing experts’ opinions. Next, by using FMEA parameters, identified risks are scored and for each RPN is calculated and finally they are prioritized. The highest priority of risk was given to the negative results of oil engineers and experts separation from the National Iranian Oil Company (RPN=576), followed by the effect of the presence of international oil companies in the destruction of the endogenous growth of national oil industry (RPN=448). Considering the high rate of risk in most identified risks, control measures were presented according to experts’ opinions in order to reduce the level of the risks.
hamidreza arbab; Ali Emami Meibodi; Saba Rajabi Ghadi
Abstract
The amount of energy consumption per growth affects on economic growth in all countries, so the access of world countries to variety of energy is essential for economic growth. Numerous studies in a world have shown that the pace of growth of energy consumption will largely depend on the level of economic ...
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The amount of energy consumption per growth affects on economic growth in all countries, so the access of world countries to variety of energy is essential for economic growth. Numerous studies in a world have shown that the pace of growth of energy consumption will largely depend on the level of economic growth. The present study aims to investigate on the researches that has been done on impact of the renewable energy consumption on the economic growth, all over the world. And after that the relation between renewable energy consumption and growth in a selected countries of OPEC members during 1985-2014. With unit root test determine stability of data and proved that all data are stable. The linear Granger causality test indicate unidirectional causality from energy consumption to growth. F limer and hausman test also stimate for determining the Regression model.
Seyed Morteza Elahi; Abdolrasool Ghasemi; ali emami meibodi
Abstract
The rapid development of gas distribution in Iran causes considerable dependence of consuming sectors on Natural Gas production .The share of South Pars Gas Field from the entire gas production in the end of sixth Five-Year Iranian Economic Plan will be over 62%. The pressure of reservoir gradually reduces ...
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The rapid development of gas distribution in Iran causes considerable dependence of consuming sectors on Natural Gas production .The share of South Pars Gas Field from the entire gas production in the end of sixth Five-Year Iranian Economic Plan will be over 62%. The pressure of reservoir gradually reduces and subsequently the volume of gas production declines in the production period due to the natural technical condition of South Pars reservoir. Installation of gas compressor platform is necessary in order to delay the reduction of the production. In spite of installation of these platforms,unofficial announcements indicate that production from South Pars field will decrease significantly in the twenty–year prospect and supply of new gas fields cannot compensate this reduction. Hence, in order to prevent gas shortage crisis in the coming years, it is required to predict some strategic actions and prioritize the supply of gas for new demand sectors. The "AHP" model has been applied to determine the priorities for this purpose. The relevant calculations have been carried out for solving the model by selecting a total of 8 options and 6 criteria by using the Expert Choice Software. The priorities of this study for each option are as follows respectively: Injection into Oil Reservoirs, Gas supply to Power Plants, Export, Feedstock for Petrochemical Units, Gas supply to Industries, Gas supply to Residential& Commercial , Transportation
Ali Emami Meibodi; Yousef mohammadzadeh; Seyed Yaser Majidi
Volume 1, Issue 1 , January 2011, , Pages 1-31
Abstract
Resent emprical studies indicate that natural resource abundance have an important role on economic growth in natural-resource-rich countries. Also according to literature on economic growth that human capital, education, technologcal progress and institutional quality are effective factors on ...
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Resent emprical studies indicate that natural resource abundance have an important role on economic growth in natural-resource-rich countries. Also according to literature on economic growth that human capital, education, technologcal progress and institutional quality are effective factors on economic growth. This essay using Dynamic Panel Data and GMM method, investigates the Resource Curse Hypothesis and then analyzes the rope of effective factors and their trace on RCH. Among several effective factors, in this paper we focus on Human Capital and Institutional Quality. Elected sample for this study is two groups of petroleum exporters' countries: A) Major petroleum exporters and B) Other petroleum exporters. The analysis for the period 1995-2008. Results indicate that Resource Curse is observed in major Petroleum Exporting Countries. Results confirm the importance of low institutional quality and inadequate investments on human capital in the occurrence of a resource curse. Therefore our finding confirm natural resource abundance may have a negative impact on growth occurs if considered in isolation, but a positive direct impact on growth if other explanatory variables, such as human capital, institutional quality, openness and etc, are also studied.
